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Global, regional, and national burden of meningitis, its risk factors, and aetiologies, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

  • GBD 2023 Meningitis & Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators
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  • Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
  • United International University
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  • Dr. D. Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pune
  • Planetary Health Research Centre
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  • Nepal Health Research Council
  • National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research, Hajipur
  • Gabriele d'Annunzio University
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  • University of Pisa
  • Catholic University of the Sacred Heart
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  • Can Tho University of Medicine and Pharmacy
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  • Ulster University
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  • Qom University of Medical Sciences
  • Amman Arab University
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  • Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences
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  • Ospedale SS Annunziata Savigliano
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  • Case Western Reserve University
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  • Debre Tabor University
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  • Euclid University
  • University of Peradeniya
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  • Shriram Institute for Industrial Research India
  • Rama Medical College Hospital and Research Centre
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  • Fasa University of Medical Sciences
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  • Yale New Haven Health System
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  • Peking University
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  • King Edward Medical University Lahore
  • The University of Buckingham
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  • All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Raipur
  • Yarmouk University
  • Birjand University of Medical Sciences
  • Northern Care Alliance NHS Foundation Trust
  • New Mexico State University
  • Broad Institute
  • Millennium Prevention, Inc
  • Kristiania University College
  • Oslo Metropolitan University
  • Baddi University of Emerging Sciences and Technologies
  • Woldia University
  • Center for Health Promotion and Research
  • Kharkiv National Medical University
  • Central University, Ghana
  • Panjab University
  • University of Eastern Finland
  • JSC "Research Institute of Cardiology and Internal Diseases"
  • Amity University, Rajasthan
  • Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences
  • University of Sindh
  • Ahalia Hospital
  • Bahria University
  • Manipal University Jaipur
  • Creighton University
  • University of Lincoln
  • Central University of Punjab, Bathinda
  • Khalifa University of Science and Technology
  • University of Indonesia
  • University of Turku
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  • Foundation for People-centric Health Systems
  • Centre for Health: The Specialty Practice
  • Aisyiyah Yogyakarta University
  • National Cheng Kung University
  • University of Genoa
  • Research Department
  • University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City
  • University of Catania
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  • Polytechnic University of Catalonia
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  • National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis
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  • Indira Gandhi Medical College
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  • Rwanda Biomedical Center
  • University of Rwanda
  • Research and Analytics Department
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  • Universitas Hasanuddin
  • University of Vermont
  • University of Central Punjab
  • Khyber Medical University
  • Frontline Association
  • Erasmus University Rotterdam
  • Duy Tan University
  • New York Medical College
  • University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City
  • International Islamic University Islamabad
  • University of Limerick
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  • Universidad de las Américas - Ecuador
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  • Bamidele Olumilua University of Education, Science and Technology
  • International Center for Genetic Engineering & Biotechnology (ICGEB)
  • Iuliu Hatieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy
  • Center for Health Outcomes & Evaluation
  • Public Health Research Society Nepal
  • University of Nottingham
  • University of Bern
  • University of Cyprus
  • IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele
  • Medical University of Vienna
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  • Ashok and Rita Patel Institute of Physiotherapy
  • Marwadi University
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  • Regional Institute of Education (RIE)
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  • Cedars-Sinai Medical Center
  • University of Trnava
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  • Norwegian Institute of Public Health
  • Uzhhorod National University
  • Nguyen Tat Thanh University
  • International Center of Medical Sciences Research (ICMSR)
  • Riphah International University
  • University of Palermo
  • Mental Health Research Institute, Tomsk National Research Medical Сепtеr, Russian Academy of Sciences
  • Siberian State Medical University
  • The Inclen Trust International
  • Chulalongkorn University
  • Mayo Clinic Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences
  • Research Center in Advancing Community Healthcare
  • Al-Rafidain University College
  • Luhansk Taras Shevchenko National University
  • New York University
  • Oman Dental College
  • Cancer Institute India
  • IRCCS Fondazione Istituto Neurologico Carlo Besta - Milano
  • All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Jodhpur
  • National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences
  • Torbat Heydarieh University of Medical Sciences
  • Rajshahi University
  • Dr. Rajendra Prasad Government Medical College
  • Dow University of Health Sciences
  • Govt. Siddhartha Medical College
  • University of Mississippi
  • University of Defence in Belgrade
  • Sharavathi Dental College and Hospital
  • Rajarata University of Sri Lanka
  • Inovus Medical
  • North Khorasan University of Medical Sciences
  • Research and Academic Institution
  • Universidad de la Sabana
  • University of Tehran
  • Shaheed Benazir Bhutto University Sheringal
  • Pan American Health Organization
  • Independent Consultant
  • Universidad de Antioquia
  • University of Warwick
  • Government Medical College & Hospital Chandigarh
  • Utkal University
  • RVM Medical College and Research Centre
  • Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology
  • Anand Agricultural University
  • Government of West Bengal
  • Public Health Wales
  • Nationwide Children’s Hospital
  • Istituto Superiore di Sanita
  • Ministero della Salute
  • Bihar College of Pharmacy
  • Széchenyi István University
  • Near East University
  • A'Sharqiyah University
  • All India Institute of Hygiene & Public Health
  • Visva-Bharati University
  • Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich
  • Federal Employment Agency
  • University of Puthisastra
  • Lahore University of Management Sciences
  • Kashan University of Medical Sciences and Health Services
  • National Taiwan University
  • Benang Merah Research Center (BMRC)
  • Government Institute of Forensic Science
  • Government Medical College Thrissur
  • Udyam-Global Association for Sustainable Development
  • Universidad ESAN
  • University of the Fraser Valley
  • Asst Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda
  • Manian Medical Centre
  • Swami Vivekanand Subharti University
  • National Institutes of Health
  • Misr University for Science and Technology
  • Quaid-I-Azam University
  • National Institute of Gastroenterology-IRCCS "Saverio de Bellis" Castellana Grotte
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  • Universidad Espíritu Santo, Ecuador
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  • Daffodil International University
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  • University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus
  • National Institute of Food Technology Entrepreneurship and Management
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  • All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bathinda
  • Punjabi University
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  • Independent Consultant
  • Ludwig Boltzmann Institute
  • University of Regina
  • Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences and General Hospital
  • Changescape Consulting
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  • Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research
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  • Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences
  • University of Nebraska Medical Center
  • Stellenbosch University
  • Northlands Medical Group
  • The University of Faisalabad
  • Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Medical University
  • Taking Our Best Shot
  • Enventure Medical Innovation
  • University of Houston
  • Leipzig University
  • Karnali Academy of Health Sciences
  • American University in Cairo
  • Sam Ratulangi University
  • Pham Ngoc Thach University of Medicine
  • Kansai Medical University
  • University of Massachusetts Dartmouth
  • ALS Vietnam
  • Tam Anh Ho Chi Minh City general Hospital
  • Universitas Sebelas Maret
  • University of Leicester
  • Leicestershire Partnership NHS Trust
  • University of Eastern Piedmont
  • University of Geneva
  • Hayatabad Medical Complex
  • Federal University of Health Sciences
  • Federal University of Health Sciences Teaching Hospital Azare
  • Khairpur Medical College
  • Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Trakya University
  • University of Bahrain
  • Velez Sarsfield Hospital
  • Government of Kerala
  • Raffles Hospital
  • Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre
  • Universidad Europea
  • Saint Camillus International University of Health and Medical Sciences
  • University of Oslo
  • Escuela Superior Politécnica de Chimborazo
  • VNU University of Medicine and Pharmacy
  • National University of Sciences and Technology Pakistan
  • Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine
  • King's College London
  • The Eighth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University
  • Gadjah Mada University
  • Universitas Aisyiyah Bandung
  • Sydney Children's Hospital
  • Inter-Continental Omni-Research in Medicine Collaborative
  • Meningitis Research Foundation
  • Michigan State University
  • Huazhong University of Science and Technology
  • Chongqing Medical University
  • Shandong University
  • Shanghai Jiao Tong University
  • Molecular Biology Institute of Barcelona
  • Linyi People's Hospital
  • Capital Medical University
  • Beijing University of Chinese Medicine
  • University of California at Irvine
  • King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre
  • KHANA
  • Suleyman Demirel University
  • Alkan Health Science
  • Kyung Hee University
  • Hubei University of Medicine
  • Harbin Medical University
  • Kazakh Russian Medical University
  • Hodeidah University
  • PGxAI, Inc.
  • Northern Borders University
  • Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
  • Ethiopia Public Health Institute
  • The University of Hong Kong
  • Albert Einstein College of Medicine
  • German Cancer Research Center
  • University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
  • Palestine Technical University, Kadoorie
  • Ivan Horbachevsky Ternopil National Medical University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background: Meningitis remains the leading infectious cause of neurological disabilities globally, disproportionately affecting children younger than 5 years and populations in the African meningitis belt. Whereas previous global estimates focused on ten pathogen categories, this study presents the most comprehensive analysis to date, assessing the meningitis burden attributable to 17 causative pathogens based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 framework. Methods: GBD is a systematic, scientific effort aimed at quantifying the comparative magnitude of health loss caused by diseases, injuries, and risk factors across age groups, sexes, and geographical locations over time. We estimated meningitis mortality using the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) and morbidity using DisMod-MR 2.1, incorporating data from vital registration, verbal autopsy, surveillance, hospital data, and systematic reviews. Aetiology-specific estimates were generated with pathogen-linked case-fatality ratios and splined binomial regression models. Risk factor attribution was based on established risk–outcome pairs and population attributable fractions. Findings: In 2023, there were 259 000 (95% uncertainty interval 202 000–335 000) global deaths and 2·54 million (2·20–2·93) incident cases of meningitis. Children younger than 5 years accounted for more than a third of deaths (86 600 [53 300–149 000]). Streptococcus pneumoniae, Neisseria meningitidis, non-polio enteroviruses, and other viruses were the leading causes of death, while non-polio enteroviruses caused the most cases. The four WHO-defined preventable meningitis pathogens of interest (S pneumoniae, N meningitidis, Haemophilus influenzae, and Group B streptococcus) contributed to 98 700 deaths (77 000–127 000) and 594 000 cases (514 000–686 000). Low birthweight, short gestation, and household air pollution were the top risk factors for meningitis-related mortality. Interpretation: Although mortality and incidence have declined significantly since 1990, progress is insufficient to meet WHO 2030 targets. Despite marked progress in reducing bacterial meningitis via global vaccination campaigns, a substantial meningitis burden persists, attributable both to common pathogens such as S pneumoniae and N meningitidis and to emerging non-bacterial pathogens such as Candida spp and drug-resistant fungi. Achieving WHO goals will require sustained investment in surveillance, vaccination, maternal screening, and health-system strengthening, especially in high-burden settings. Funding: Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and UK Department of Health and Social Care.

Original languageEnglish
JournalThe Lancet Neurology
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - 2026

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